Research Scope
Our research concentrates primarily on U.S. economic and financial conditions. In recent years, the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center has also increased its international research, analyzing and anticipating changes in the global economy and international financial health.
The primary framework for domestic and international analysis is the Profits Perspective, an approach that includes the study of the flows of funds that determine total business profits, the relationship between profits and credit expansion, and the sufficiency of profits and cash flow to maintain financial stability and asset prices.
The Jerome Levy Forecasting Center forecasts profit trends, general economic conditions, inflation, interest rates, government fiscal conditions, and many other key economic and financial phenomena. In addition, it analyzes macroeconomic risk and identifies the key issues that will determine the economy’s course—the issues that will have the greatest effect on business and investment performance.
The time frame for business cycle forecasts is usually twelve to eighteen months, depending on circumstances. The use of the Profits Perspective also enables the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center to identify critical long-term trends, including evolutionary changes in the private economy’s financial system and in its ability to generate profits.